MH370: 5 Theories of What Happened to the Missing Plane

Experts weigh in on some not-so-conspiracy theories.

ByABC News
July 30, 2015, 11:00 AM

— -- Few thought it was possible for a jumbo jet seemingly to vanish mid-flight until Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 from Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, never made it to Beijing.

The ensuing hysteria led to many false conclusions, but nothing has been proven.

The 239 people on board MH370, including the 12 crew members, are all believed to have died, though none of the plane's remnants nor any bodies were ever found.

Outlandish theories on the plane's fate have circulated in the deep recesses of the Internet -- but there also are more plausible theories that aviation experts have not been able to rule out, as well as one that seems the most likely.

There Was an Explosion or Fire on Board

The prospect of either a purposeful explosion, like a bomb on board the plane or a mechanical problem that resulted in the downing of the jet, were both suggested as possible explanations, first for MH370 and later for the AirAsia crash that took place eight months later in Indonesia.

Fire seems like a less likely cause in the case of MH370, however, because there appeared to be several purposeful actions taken before the plane vanished from all radar that may suggest something more sinister and planned was afoot, experts said.

The plane took a distinct turn towards the Indian Ocean, removing it from the intended flight path. That coupled with the fact that several layers of the plane’s radar tracking system appeared to be purposefully turned off suggest that someone with knowledge of how to fly a plane took over the controls with a goal in mind, according to the theory.

PHOTO: Co-pilot and Squadron Leader Brett McKenzie of the Royal New Zealand Airforce P-3K2-Orion aircraft, helps to look for objects during the search for missing flight MH370 in flight over the Indian Ocean off the coast of Perth, Australia.
Co-pilot and Squadron Leader Brett McKenzie of the Royal New Zealand Airforce P-3K2-Orion aircraft, helps to look for objects during the search for missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 in flight over the Indian Ocean on April 13, 2014 off the coast of Perth, Australia.

The Plane Flew in Another Plane’s Shadow

Another theory that has not been ruled out by experts is the prospect that MH370 could have “shadowed” another plane, flying either below or above another commercial airliner in order to avoid being tracked by radar.

While it might seem surprising that one plane can hide underneath another, former Air Force pilot and current ABC News aviation consultant John Nance said that it cannot be immediately ruled out.

“That idea is not outlandish, but the probabilities of that are extremely low,” Nance said.

One reason the theory may be unlikely is that pilots trained on military planes are the only ones who generally receive the required training for such a move. On top of that, they have specialized tools that help them do so.

ABC News aviation consultant Steve Ganyard, who previously served as a Marine Corps fighter pilot, noted that the pilots on board MH370 had not received the military training necessary to fly in formation.

“Even if they could,” he said, “military pilots have special lights. ... This idea that a 777 could tuck into 777‘s flight path is pretty hard to believe, especially at night.”

Hijackers Took Control of the Plane

“There’s just no question it was hijacked," Nance said. "The only question we don’t have an answer to is whether it was the pilot or a third party.”

Investigators searched into the backgrounds of the passengers on board but found nothing alarming, though that does not necessarily rule out the prospect.

“It is still possible that it was a third party but, if so, it was a dual team," Nance said. "A male would not have been able to get access to the cockpit so easily. An attractive female might.”

The strongest piece of evidence against the theory, however, is that there were no distress calls or suspicious activity transmitted via radio between the time of the last call into ground control and the time the transponder was turned off.

PHOTO: A man reacts as Chinese relatives of passengers on the missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 attend a meeting at the Metro Park Hotel in Beijing on April 21, 2014.
A man reacts as Chinese relatives of passengers on the missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 attend a meeting at the Metro Park Hotel in Beijing on April 21, 2014.